Live Radio Interview on Radio 74 Europe: Explosive situation in the Middle East
Where: Radio 74 (The answer) in Europe – www.radio 74.org
When: 16 Feb 2018, ca 8 AM CET – Duration 12 minutes.
Who: US journalist & radio host Ron Myers and Swiss-Peruvian Economist Christian Takushi.
Main topic: Explosive situation in the Middle East – a war looms as the region deteriorates inexorably.
Secondary issues: Europe’s energy ambitions help explain the ferocious battles in recent years along a probable future gas/oil pipeline from Iran to Turkey – passing through North Eastern Iraq and North Eastern Syria. It also helps explain Turkey’s attack on Kurdish forces in Northern Syria. Turkey and Iran try to avoid a pipeline passing through the core of Kurdish territories.
(not all the risks were commented on radio for time reasons): Very few people are aware that the EU is partially responsible for the rise of Iran, an emboldened Ankara, ferocious battles in N-E Syria and N-E Iraq and the precarious situation of Kurdish civilians.
Europe’s strategic failure to secure a sustainable energy source has led to her ambitions for Iranian gas & oil (this search for a back up source has been kept silent). Berlin and Brussels have embraced the Regime in Teheran: accelerating the rise of Iran and emboldening Turkey. What few in Europe want to acknowledge is that Europe will be within reach of the future nuclear combatant states in the Middle East after 2022. The Shia-Sunni conflict and the Israel-Arab conflict will also overlap. Sadly. all existing world powers and rising ones (USA, Russia, China, EU, Brazil, Turkey, Iran etc.) are pivoting their power projection on the Middle East and Jerusalem in particular. While no one can predict the exact timing, a war is inevitable. Europe is likely to be the most affected economic block of this coming war in the Middle East due to (1) nuclear contamination, (2) the shutdown of the Trade Routes on which Europe’s economy so much depends and (3) the possible missile attacks and security fallout on European cities.
Any future major war in the Middle East will shockingly expose the utter lack of strategic foresight by European leaders. The Supply Chain for Europe will collapse within hours, followed by a sharp but temporary increase in energy, insurance and food prices. Great managers and bureaucrats lack the strategic foresight of true leaders. From both a macroeconomic and geopolitical perspective Europe is over-managed and under-led.
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