Why Europe fears Teheran

Date: 20 June 2025 – Public release on 20 July delayed by 30 day & truncated

Dear reader

The Middle East is seeing open hostilities of a magnitude that could trigger a wider conflagration or a shift in the geopolitical landscape. Since 2015 we are saying that the Middle East has entered an irreversible process of security deterioration. In 2018 we predicted Israel will have to fight a large scale war on several fronts – that war is in its second year.

Crises are overshadowing our biggest problem

The large Western powers are not only hopelessly indebted and postponing default by printing paper money to buy their debt & intervene in markets (which all stakeholders seating in the same boat prefer to overlook), they also face a large array of conflicts that are beginning to set each other off.

While many things around the war in Ukraine are still open and undecided, the most certain consequences of that war are already unfolding elsewhere:

– The security deterioration of Western Europe

– The war on Israel by Iranian proxies backfired. Israel hits hard at Iran and Russia can barely help Teheran

These side-effects are forcing nations to spend heavily into weapons and defence, stretching already unattainable deficits. Those that know that Net Zero alone will cost Europe over USD 30’000 Bn, know that Europe cannot afford its full rearmament. Hence a reset looms. Sad as it may sound, the likely fall or collapse of the financial system will overshadow all recent crises (Covid pandemic, Ukraine war etc.). In fact the crises may force or enable major powers to preempt the collapse through a reset. While some analysts believe this is out of some evil intent, we disagree. In the face of spiralling giant deficit and debt bubbles, governments have to find ways to reset the financial system and seize markets to maintain law & order.

While the offensive infrastructure of Teheran’s regime is crippled, a wounded enemy may pose the biggest threat to Israel and Europe yet. While Israeli society is war-ready and used to fight wars, European society is far away from being ready to handle hypersonic missiles. Having said that, even if we can avoid any Iranian assets being fired at Western Europe, it is possible that the financial reset of Europe could well be triggered by a convergence of wars and deficit crises.

A tinder box

The Northern hemisphere is currently home to 122 crises and conflicts. They are increasingly becoming interconnected and getting out of control.

While all eyes are on Ukraine, Israel-Iran and Taiwan, our media is almost silent about what is going on in Pakistan, Serbia, Armenia, Kaliningrad, Turkey etc. The military decline of Iran has forced Pakistan to become more assertive – setting off India tensions.

 

The US support for Taiwan has led to China-Japan tensions. Meanwhile some analysts are convinced North Korea is successfully destabilising South Korea. All over the world, countries are destabilising their neighbours or meddling in their affairs. Over a dozen countries are investigating if foreign governments used NGO’s to meddle in their political process. Some quietly for fear of reprisals by our governments.

Middle East – Europe’s tragic long array of mistakes

We don’t think we need to remind our readers on why so many around the world believe France and Britain are in some ways responsible for the conflicts plaguing the Middle East today.

But even in recent years Britain, France and Germany (along the EU) have played a somewhat ambivalent role in the region. The most significant ones in our analysis: the Arab Spring and the Iran Deal of 2015.

In the Iran Deal of President Obama European leaders pressed Iran to reduce enrichment for an initial period of 10 years – In exchange, Iran got billions of USD and was de facto allowed to build its Ballistic Program. During these ten years Iran has developed a modern ballistic arsenal that includes advanced hypersonic mid-range ballistic missiles that can penetrate US or European defence shields and presumably reach up to  ..

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Geopolitical Research Team  –  20 June 2025 – Public release on 20 July 2025 truncated
info@geopoliticalresearch.com

Research made in Switzerland 

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